Jul 12, 2012
Part 2
Canada’s housing market is hot. There’s little doubt about that when many communities are seeing home prices up 20% or even 30%+ compared to a year ago.
The question is what can be done about it without risking a housing downturn.
In our last post, we reviewed some of the arguments for and against one of the more controversial suggestions being talked about, which is the introduction of a capital gains tax on the sale of primary residences.
Given the widespread opposition likely by homeowners—not to mention questions about its effectiveness on controlling price growth—many observers say any move to remove the capital gains exemption on primary residences is highly unlikely.
So, what options are left?
Last week, we saw the introduction of the first of what’s expected to be additional measures to help cool the market. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) unveiled proposed changes to its mortgage stress test on uninsured mortgages (typically those with a minimum 20% down payment).
Pending public consultation, the changes would see borrowers applying for an uninsured mortgage qualify at their mortgage contract rate plus two percentage points or 5.25%, whichever is higher. The current minimum stress test rate is 4.79%. Experts say the change will reduce buying power by 4-4.5%, with the impact to be felt most by first-time buyers.
Here are some other options that are on the table for policymakers:
With the federal budget to be tabled on April 19, watch for some kind of response from the Liberal government to be seen to be doing something to tackle the issue of high home prices.
Whatever they decide to do, Liberal MP Adam Vaughan recently reminded us that there’s “no magic switch” to reset home values.
“When people tell you they want to cut housing prices by 10%… there is no magic switch in the Finance Department or the Bank of Canada where you just go to it and reset everybody’s home equity rates and housing prices across the country,” Vaughan, whose portfolio includes housing issues, told BNN Bloomberg this week. “Nor can you compel people to sell for less than the house is worth.”
If you’re a current or prospective homeowner and want to know how any of these potential changes might impact your financing plans, speak to a mortgage broker who can explain your options and help you make an informed decision.
Apr 19, 2012